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According to Skymet Weather, a Western Disturbance is over North Pakistan and adjoining parts of Jammu and Kashmir. A Western Disturbance is over the Northern parts of Afghanistan. An induced cyclonic circulation is over the Central part of Pakistan. A trough is extending from South Kerala to Madhya Maharashtra across interior parts of Karnataka.

During the last 24 hours, light to moderate rain and snowfall occurred over Jammu and Kashmir, Gilgit Baltistan and Muzaffarabad. Scattered light to moderate rain and thundershowers occurred over sub–Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam and Arunachal Pradesh.

Eastern parts of Assam and Arunachal Pradesh received one or two intense thundershower activities. The weather remained almost dry over the rest part of the country.

Photo: Skymet Weather

During the next 24 hours, light scattered rain associated with isolated snowfall may occur over parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Gilgit Baltistan and Muzaffarabad. Isolated pockets of Ladakh may receive light rain. Scattered light to moderate rain and thundershower with isolated snowfall may occur over Himachal Pradesh. Isolated rain activities are expected over Sikkim and Assam.

Scattered rain activities are expected over North West and Central India from March 17th.

Following a wet weekend that saw many areas across Northeast India receive heavy showers and thunderstorms, parts of this region are expected to continue witnessing wet conditions for the next 3-4 days.

According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), fairly widespread rainfall and/or snowfall activity is likely to drench the state of Arunachal Pradesh over the next two days, and decrease thereafter. Furthermore, isolated thundershowers are on the cards for Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya from Tuesday to Friday, March 16-19.

These conditions will be created by a trough in the westerlies and a cyclonic circulation, which are expected to persist over the region over the course of this forecast period, as per The Weather Channel’s met team.

In view of these predictions, the IMD has issued a yellow watch (‘be aware’ of the local weather situation) over the three aforementioned states, along with the neighbouring states of Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland and Tripura on Tuesday, March 16. No alerts have been placed over the region for the subsequent two days, although there remains a possibility of the advisory level getting updated by late Tuesday.

Meanwhile, similar wet conditions were recorded over the Northeast during this recently-concluded weekend, when a passing western disturbance interacted with the easterly winds blowing in from the Bay of Bengal, and created confluence that caused instability over the region.

These meteorological conditions then led to widespread rains and thunderstorms over the northeastern states, particularly over Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Assam and Meghalaya.

Photo: IMD

5-Day Nationwide Forecast

According to Weather.com, a trough and cyclonic circulation are likely to persist over Northeastern India in this forecast period. The cyclonic circulation could bring isolated rain or snow with lightning over the region in this period. Scattered to fairly widespread snow or rain with lightning is likely over Arunachal Pradesh from Tuesday to Thursday.

A western disturbance (WD) is situated around North Pakistan and its adjoining area on Tuesday morning. The WD is likely to affect the Western Himalayan Region (WHR). It is expected to bring scattered to fairly widespread snow or rain with lightning over Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh on Tuesday and Wednesday and isolated snow/rain over the WHR from Tuesday to Thursday. Moreover, a fresh WD is expected to affect the WHR from Friday.

In the southern peninsula, a trough is likely to persist and produce isolated rain with lightning over Kerala in this period.

Meanwhile, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that due to the influence of interaction between mid-level westerlies and lower-level easterlies, thunderstorm or hailstorm activity is likely over Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra.

As for mercury levels, maximum temperatures are expected to be 40°C or more over the isolated region of coastal Western India in this period. Maximum temperatures will also be slightly lower than average over Central, Eastern, and Southern India, while other areas are likely to witness near normal or slightly warmer mercury levels during this period.

Minimum temperatures are warmer or slightly warmer than average across India in this period. Dry weather is likely over other areas in this forecast period. Heatwave conditions are expected to occur in isolated areas of Saurashtra & Kutch on Tuesday.

Photo: Weather Online

Regional Forcast

Fairly widespread rain/snow and thunderstorms are likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh.

Isolated rain or snow and thunderstorms are predicted over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Sikkim. Isolated rain and thunderstorms are possible over Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Punjab, and Kerala.

Dry weather is likely over other areas. Maximum temperatures of 40°C or more are possible over isolated areas of coastal western India.

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